As Super Bowl LIX approaches, the conversation around who will win MVP is heating up. Historically, quarterbacks dominate the award, but with standout performances from both teams’ offensive stars, there’s reason to look beyond the usual suspects. Based on postseason statistics and current MVP odds, here’s an in-depth look at the top contenders for the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs.
5 Things Learned About the Chiefs | 5 Things Learned About the Eagles
Patrick Mahomes (+105) – The Clear Favorite
Unsurprisingly, Patrick Mahomes is the odds-on favorite to win Super Bowl LIX MVP. He’s the face of the Kansas City Chiefs, and history tells us that unless something extreme happens, quarterbacks win this award.
Why Mahomes Could Win
- 2024 Postseason Stats: 422 passing yards, four total TDs, 66.7% completion rate
- Super Bowl Experience: Already a three-time Super Bowl MVP
- Narrative Power: Even with an average performance, the award leans toward quarterbacks
If Mahomes leads the Chiefs to another victory, it’s almost automatic that he wins the award—regardless of whether he has the best game.
Saquon Barkley (+290) – A Juicy Underdog Pick
The Philadelphia Eagles have been a dominant running team, and Saquon Barkley has played a massive role in their playoff success. Barkley has been electrifying, rushing for 442 yards and five touchdowns this postseason, making him the most productive player on either team heading into the Super Bowl.
Why Barkley Could Win
- 2024 Postseason Stats: 442 rushing yards, five touchdowns, 6.7 YPC
- Eagles’ Offensive Focus: If Philly wins, it’s likely behind Barkley’s big performance
- RB MVP History: While rare, we’ve seen it happen (Terrell Davis, Emmitt Smith)
Barkley is the most realistic non-QB MVP candidate, especially if the Eagles control the game with their ground attack.
Jalen Hurts (+380) – The Dual-Threat Star
Jalen Hurts is another strong candidate and could end up outshining Mahomes in this game. The Eagles’ offensive identity revolves around Hurts, who has already thrown for 505 yards and rushed for 122 more in the playoffs. His ability to impact both the passing and running game makes him a serious threat for MVP.
Why Hurts Could Win
- 2024 Postseason Stats: 505 passing yards, seven total TDs, 122 rushing yards
- MVP Voter Trends: Quarterbacks are always favored in close races
- Super Bowl LVII Snub: Hurts had a massive game two years ago in a loss to the Chiefs but didn’t win MVP
If the Eagles win, it will likely be because of Hurts’ playmaking ability—making him a fantastic value bet at +380.
Travis Kelce (+1700) – A Long Shot With Upside
Travis Kelce has been Mahomes’ go-to weapon over the years in the postseason. He’s leading the Chiefs in these playoffs with 136 receiving yards and a touchdown. If Kelce explodes for multiple touchdowns, he could be the first tight end in history to win Super Bowl MVP.
Why Kelce Could Win
- 2024 Postseason Stats: 12 receptions, 136 yards, TD
- Big Game Target: Mahomes trusts him in high-pressure moments
- Unpredictability Factor: If he goes off for 100+ yards and two TDs, voters could swing
Kelce’s odds at +1700 are intriguing for bettors looking for a non-QB MVP pick.
Xavier Worthy (+3000) – The Dark Horse Play
Rookie Xavier Worthy is a huge long shot, but his speed and explosiveness could make him an X-factor if he breaks a big play or two.
Why Worthy Could Win
- 2024 Postseason Stats: 11 receptions, 130 yards, TD
- Breakout Potential: He’s a deep threat waiting to explode
- Perfect Underdog Bet: At +3000, he’s worth a tiny sprinkle
Worthy winning MVP would be a major surprise, but if he catches a game-winning TD, crazier things have happened.
Who’s the Best Super Bowl MVP Bet?
Best Value Pick: Jalen Hurts (+380)
- If the Eagles win, Hurts is almost guaranteed to win MVP.
- His dual-threat ability makes him more valuable than Barkley.
Biggest Sleeper Pick: Saquon Barkley (+290)
- If Hurts struggles but the Eagles win with a heavy ground attack, Barkley could steal the MVP.
Safest Pick: Patrick Mahomes (+105)
- If the Chiefs win, Mahomes will win MVP, even if he’s not the best player.
Super Bowl MVP betting is all about finding the right mix of value and probability. While Mahomes is the safe bet, Hurts and Barkley present better odds for bettors looking to capitalize on a potential Eagles victory.
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