The 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs are heating up as the Edmonton Oilers host the Dallas Stars for Game 4 of the Western Conference Final. With the series momentum in the balance, bettors are dialed in on every edge—especially when it comes to player props, moneyline trends, and betting handle percentages.
Below, we break down everything you need to know before wagering on tonight’s pivotal showdown.
📊 Moneyline, Total, and Spread Action
According to BetMGM betting splits, here’s how the market stands:
Moneyline:
- Dallas Stars: +140 (Opening & Current)
- 51% of bets | 61% of handle
- Edmonton Oilers: -170 (Opening & Current)
- 49% of bets | 39% of handle
Interpretation: Despite nearly even ticket distribution, sharp money appears to be backing the underdog Stars. Dallas has attracted a larger share of the handle, suggesting high-stakes bettors are buying into their value.
Over/Under (Total Goals):
- Total: 6.5
- Over 6.5 (+100): 27% of bets | 22% of handle
- Under 6.5 (-120): 73% of bets | 78% of handle
Interpretation: Heavy lean toward the Under, both in volume and dollars. Expect a potentially tighter, more defensive matchup—a possible response to prior high-scoring trends or key goaltending matchups.
Puck Line:
- Stars +1.5 (-170)
- Oilers -1.5 (+140)
Given the tight moneyline and Under action, puck line bets may offer less upside unless you’re looking for an Oilers blowout or believe the Stars can keep it to a one-goal loss.
🔥 Most Bet Props for Oilers vs. Stars Game 4
The following player props are commanding the most betting interest at BetMGM:
Connor McDavid – Anytime Goal Scorer (+135)
- The Oilers captain remains a consistent scoring threat. At plus money, bettors are banking on McDavid’s elite finishing in a pivotal scenario.
Leon Draisaitl – Anytime Goal Scorer (+105)
- With playoff pedigree and chemistry alongside McDavid, Draisaitl is another popular pick to light the lamp.
No Goal in First 10 Minutes (+135)
- Reflects the public’s lean toward a slow-starting, defense-heavy contest—in line with Under 6.5 trends.
Connor McDavid – First Goal Scorer (+1000)
- High-risk, high-reward prop for those betting McDavid sets the tone early.
Zach Hyman – Over 0.5 Points (-110)
- Hyman continues to be a value option. A single assist or goal cashes this ticket.
📈 Betting Insights & Sharp Action
- Stars Drawing Smart Money: While ticket count is even, 61% of the handle on Dallas suggests professional bettors are backing them on the moneyline.
- Total Lean Under: The vast majority of both public and sharp bets are hitting the Under, likely influenced by playoff intensity and goaltending performance.
- Prop Market Focused on Oilers Stars: Bettors still trust Edmonton’s big guns to produce, even with the market favoring Dallas on the moneyline.
🧠 Betting Strategy for Game 4
Lean: Dallas Stars +140 ML
With sharp money and an evenly split public, the value lies on the Stars at plus money—especially if they’ve shown composure on the road.
Prop Angle: Zach Hyman Over 0.5 Points (-110)
Low juice and steady offensive involvement make this one of the most efficient plays on the board.
Trend to Watch: Under 6.5
With the Under drawing 78% of the handle, bettors are expecting a goaltending duel or disciplined defensive effort.
New to sports betting? First, explore our Introduction to Sports Betting. Then check out our recommendations at Flip The Switch for online sportsbooks, along with offers to get started. And if you’re not an avid sports fan, you can still find some fun and unusual bets to enjoy!
