The Seattle Seahawks and Chicago Bears clash tonight on Thursday Night Football, and we’ve got your touchdown market breakdown to make this game profitable. Let’s dive into the best bets and the ones to steer clear of in tonight’s primetime matchup.
TNF Previews: Best Bets | Same Game Parlay | Seahawks-Bears Matchup Page
Zach Charbonnet (-160): A Must-Play with a Twist
Zach Charbonnet has taken over as the Seahawks’ RB1 with Kenneth Walker III injured, and he’s been delivering. In the past three games as the lead back, Charbonnet has found the end zone five times. At -160, there’s clear value for him to score again tonight, but here’s the sharper move: pair his anytime touchdown with the Seahawks’ moneyline for a juicy +110 return. Charbonnet is a workhorse, and this parlay gives you a better bang for your buck.
Keenan Allen (+180): Trust in Chemistry
The Bears are in a free fall, losers of nine straight, and tonight likely won’t change that. Expect Caleb Williams to air it out, and while both Keenan Allen and DJ Moore are poised for big games, Allen stands out as the smarter play.
Why? Consistency. Allen has five touchdowns in his last five games and a whopping 13 targets in the previous two weeks. Moore’s TD numbers pale in comparison, with just two touchdowns over the same stretch. At +180, Allen’s chemistry with Williams makes him the better touchdown ticket.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+155): The Hot Hand
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has quietly emerged as the Seahawks’ go-to receiver, leading the passing attack with five touchdowns in his last seven games. His recent form is even more impressive: 18 receptions over the past two weeks alone. If you believe the Bears’ defense will be a no-show or crumble, JSN is a solid secondary option to Charbonnet.
DK Metcalf (+185): Don’t Sleep on DK
DK Metcalf may not have the stats to back up his talent lately, but that’s precisely why I love him at +185 tonight. Metcalf is too talented to stay quiet for long, and this could be the game where he reminds us why he’s a top-tier receiver. If you’re chasing value, DK’s your guy.
Best Longshot: AJ Barner (+950)
If you’re hunting for a touchdown payday, there’s some sneaky value on the board. Forget Tyler Lockett (+460)—his volume is down, and Noah Fant (+430) hasn’t scored all year. Instead, consider AJ Barner at a whopping +950. Barner’s role may be limited as the Seahawks’ TE2, but he’s managed three touchdowns this season. At that price, it’s worth sprinkling a little action.
On the Bears’ side, Roschon Johnson at +470 is intriguing. With D’Andre Swift’s role diminished Johnson becomes the goal-line favorite, making him a solid dart throw for a touchdown bet.
Final Plays
- Best Bet: Zach Charbonnet TD + Seahawks ML (+110)
- Value Play: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+155)
- Longshot: AJ Barner (+950)
Follow the game flow and take advantage of these edges. Let’s cash in!
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