As NFL Conference Championship weekend nears, BetMGM has revealed the top bets by ticket count—and the action is as intriguing as ever. From potential underdog surprises to dynamic offenses aiming to light up the scoreboard, here’s a quick look at which sides and totals are drawing the most attention.
1. Washington Commanders Moneyline (+240)
Seeing the Washington Commanders as the number‐one choice at BetMGM might surprise some, but there’s solid logic behind the public’s enthusiasm. Sitting at +240 on the moneyline against the Philadelphia Eagles, the Commanders enter the NFC Championship with a 14‐5 record (including playoffs) and a 7‐3 mark over their past ten outings. Offensively, Washington ranks fifth in scoring (28.5 PPG) and seventh in total yards (369.6 per game). Though Philly boasts the league’s second‐best defense (allowing 17.8 PPG) and the top pass‐defense mark (174.2 yards per game), Washington’s recent head‐to‐head success (6‐4 record in the last ten meetings and 6‐2‐2 ATS) has bettors believing a Commanders upset could be on the cards once again.
Commanders-Eagles Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates
2. Buffalo Bills Moneyline (+110)
Backing the Buffalo Bills at +110 over the Kansas City Chiefs has become BetMGM’s second most popular play, and for good reason. Buffalo has won eight of its last ten contests while piling up the league’s second‐highest points per game (30.9). Their balanced attack—227.9 passing yards ninth) and 131.2 rushing yards (ninth)—allows them to keep defenses guessing. Even though the Chiefs enter with a matching 8‐2 record in that same stretch, their 3‐7 ATS mark suggests they often fail to cover, reinforcing why bettors see the plus‐money Bills as a savvy pick on the moneyline.
NFL Conference Championships Betting Trends: Big Backing on Bills
3. Washington Commanders +6
Sitting as the third most popular pick at BetMGM to cover +6, the Commanders bring a reliable ATS résumé (12-6-1 on the year) into the NFC Championship. Anchored by Jayden Daniels and the league’s third‐ranked rushing attack (154.1 yards per game), Washington can sustain drives and shorten the contest—key factors when facing an Eagles squad that’s 14‐1 in its past 15 outings. The Commanders also boast a top‐three pass defense, allowing just 189.5 yards through the air, which could keep Philadelphia’s explosive offense from creating a double‐digit cushion. With a sturdy ground game and a knack for limiting opposing quarterbacks, Washington looks primed to hang within six points on championship weekend.
Ranking the 4 NFL Divisional Round Winners Headed to Championship Games
4. Buffalo Bills +2
As the fourth most popular selection at BetMGM, the Bills +2 also makes sense for those seeking a little more cushion than the moneyline. Buffalo’s 15‐4 overall record includes a stellar 12‐7 mark against the spread, showcasing their knack for exceeding expectations. Meanwhile, Kansas City’s defense, though ranked fourth in points allowed (19.2), can be exposed through the air, surrendering 218.82 passing yards per game (18th). Factor in Buffalo’s efficiency on both sides of the ball and that extra two‐point buffer can give bettors confidence.
Bills-Chiefs Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates
5. Eagles–Commanders OVER 47.5
At 47.5 points, the over in this NFC Championship matchup ranks as the fifth most popular wager at BetMGM—and it’s not hard to see why. Both teams sit inside the league’s top ten in total offense: the Eagles average 367.2 yards per game (eighth), while the Commanders are just ahead at 369.6 (seventh). Philadelphia’s second‐best rushing attack (179.3 yards per game) faces a Washington run defense allowing 137.5 yards on the ground (30th), which sets the stage for plenty of big plays for Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts. Meanwhile, the Commanders have reached the 23‐point threshold in eight of their last ten contests, helping them to a 6‐4 record to the over in that span. Put it all together, and bettors are confident these offenses can eclipse 47.5 come kickoff.
Key Injury Updates Heading into the NFL Conference Championships
6. Bills–Chiefs OVER 47.5
The over 47.5 is the sixth most‐bet option at BetMGM, as many expect a high‐scoring affair in this AFC Championship clash. The Bills put up nearly 31 points per game and move the chains at a top‐ten pace (359.1 total yards), while the Chiefs are no stranger to points themselves, averaging 22.6 per outing. With Buffalo ranked 24th in passing yards allowed (226.06 per game) and Kansas City coming in at 18th (218.82), Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes should be able to air it out and push this total past the posted 47.5. The Bills are also 11-6-2 to the over this season.
With each wager riding a wave of public momentum, championship weekend promises non‐stop excitement on the field and at the betting window. Whether backing underdogs or hammering overs, these fan‐favored picks capture some of the most compelling angles to consider before the games kick off.
New to sports betting? First, explore our Introduction to Sports Betting. Then check out our recommendations at Flip The Switch for online sportsbooks, along with offers to get started. And if you’re not an avid sports fan, you can still find some fun and unusual bets to enjoy!
