With the 2025 NFL Draft approaching, sportsbooks are seeing major shifts in betting trends. BetMGM has released updated insights that include line movement, ticket and handle percentages, and the biggest liabilities for the top five picks. These trends not only offer a glimpse into public sentiment but also highlight which prospects are drawing sharp money and bookmaker concern.
1st Overall Pick: Cameron Ward Emerges as Heavy Favorite
Line Movement
- Cam Ward saw a dramatic odds swing from -145 to -10000, indicating overwhelming confidence in his selection as the top overall pick.
- Abdul Carter fell significantly, drifting from +180 to +3000, showing decreased betting interest.
Ticket & Handle Leaders
- Highest Ticket %:
- Travis Hunter – 28.1%
- Shedeur Sanders – 20.3%
- Cameron Ward – 13.9%
- Highest Handle %:
- Cameron Ward – 62.0%
- Travis Hunter – 13.8%
- Shedeur Sanders – 12.8%
Biggest Liability
- BetMGM’s top liability for the 1st pick is Shedeur Sanders, followed closely by Travis Hunter and Cameron Ward. Despite Ward’s handle dominance, the liability suggests large wagers could impact the book if either Hunter or Sanders is taken first.
2nd Overall Pick: Shedeur Sanders Dominates Betting Interest
Public and Sharp Action
- Highest Ticket %: Shedeur Sanders – 41.4%
- Highest Handle %: Shedeur Sanders – 47.7%
- Biggest Liability: Shedeur Sanders
Odds Leader
- Despite Sanders leading in tickets and handle, Travis Hunter remains the odds-on favorite at -300, signaling potential value disparity between public sentiment and sportsbook expectation.
3rd Overall Pick: Betting Split Between Sanders and Hunter
Betting Breakdown
- Highest Ticket %: Shedeur Sanders – 39.9%
- Highest Handle %: Travis Hunter – 58.1%
- Biggest Liability: Shedeur Sanders
Odds Leader
- Abdul Carter is the current favorite at -190, though his name hasn’t been dominant in handle or ticket percentages, raising questions about sharp backing or inside draft intel.
4th Overall Pick: Will Campbell Sees a Surge
Strong Public Backing
- Highest Ticket %: Will Campbell – 23.9%
- Highest Handle %: Will Campbell – 37.7%
- Biggest Liability: Will Campbell
Odds Leader
- Campbell leads the market at +110, aligning with his strong ticket and handle performance. If his momentum continues, expect more movement in his favor as the draft nears.
5th Overall Pick: Ashton Jeanty Draws Sharp Handle
Handle Heavyweight
- Highest Ticket %: Ashton Jeanty – 14.5%
- Highest Handle %: Ashton Jeanty – 50.9%
- Biggest Liability: Ashton Jeanty
Odds Leader
- Despite Jeanty’s handle dominance, Mason Graham leads the odds at -155, setting up a potential showdown between sharp money and bookmaker expectations.
Final Thoughts: Where to Find Value in NFL Draft Betting
The 2025 NFL Draft betting markets are heating up with dramatic shifts in odds and liability distribution. Cameron Ward appears to be locked in as the 1st overall pick, but names like Shedeur Sanders, Travis Hunter, and Will Campbell are drawing significant betting interest across multiple slots.
For bettors looking to capitalize on discrepancies between public money and odds, Shedeur Sanders could present value outside the top pick, while Ashton Jeanty‘s high handle at the 5th pick deserves attention.
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