As the 2025 Stanley Cup Final shifts south to Florida for Game 3, the Oilers find themselves needing a spark on the road. Bettors are weighing in heavily on both sides, and the market continues to react to early performances and futures implications. Below are the latest insights from BetMGM sportsbooks heading into this pivotal matchup.
Moneyline & Betting Market Movement
- Opening Odds:
- Oilers: +115
- Panthers: -135
- Current Odds:
- Oilers: +118
- Panthers: -140
The Florida Panthers are seeing the sharpest movement, with their moneyline tightening from -135 to -140. That reflects public confidence in their early series dominance. The betting handle backs that up:
- 68% of the handle is on the Panthers to win, despite only 49% of tickets being placed on them.
- Conversely, the Oilers have received 51% of the total bets, but only 32% of the handle, suggesting smaller wagers are skewed toward the underdog.
This discrepancy signals that sharp money is on Florida, while casual bettors are keeping hope alive for a McDavid-led rebound.
Game Total Action (Over/Under)
- Opening Total: 6.5
- Over (-105), Under (-115)
- Current Total: 6.5
- Over (+100), Under (-120)
The total remains at 6.5, but juice movement indicates a lean toward the under. The public is split:
- 56% of bets on the Over
- But 53% of the handle is on the Under, pointing again to larger wagers backing a tighter, defensive contest.
With both goaltenders standing tall in the early series and physicality ramping up, the Under looks increasingly appealing to high-stakes bettors.
Most Bet Player Props for Game 3
According to BetMGM, here are the most popular prop bets based on ticket volume:
- Connor McDavid to score a goal (+150)
- Brad Marchand under 0.5 points (-125)
- Sergei Bobrovsky over 26.5 saves (+100)
- Connor McDavid to score the first goal (+1000)
- Leon Draisaitl to score a goal (+115)
McDavid’s scoring odds are generating major traction despite Florida’s defensive success. His +150 to score and +1000 to net the first goal represent some of the most bet-on props in Game 3. That optimism, however, isn’t reflected in BetMGM’s liability comments.
Conn Smythe Market Insight
“As far as Conn Smythe betting goes, Draisaitl, Marchand, Bennett, and Skinner are bad results, while McDavid is now the best result for us. BetMGM is fine with anyone else winning the award.”
— Matthew Rasp, Senior Sportsbook Trader, BetMGM
The Conn Smythe outlook underscores how bettors overexposed themselves to Draisaitl and Bennett early. As it stands, a McDavid MVP win would be a welcome outcome for BetMGM, while payouts on Marchand or Skinner would be costly.
Final Betting Angle: Where’s the Value in Game 3?
- Panthers ML (-140) still holds betting value given sharp money flow.
- Under 6.5 (-120) is drawing heavy professional action as the series tightens up.
- Prop bettors should watch for McDavid’s goal lines but beware the liability trap—his popularity doesn’t match production thus far.
With Edmonton back on the road and a virtual must-win scenario at play, expect elevated urgency—but Florida’s structure and Bobrovsky’s hot hand continue to shape the betting edge.
New to sports betting? First, explore our Introduction to Sports Betting. Then check out our recommendations at Flip The Switch for online sportsbooks, along with offers to get started. And if you’re not an avid sports fan, you can still find some fun and unusual bets to enjoy!
