The 2025 MLS season is heating up, and sharp bettors are already taking note of significant movements in futures markets. Based on the latest data from BetMGM, here’s a detailed look at how betting trends have shifted for the MLS League Winner and Top Goalscorer awards.
MLS League Winner: Odds Movement & Betting Trends
📉 Line Movement Highlights
- Los Angeles FC: Opened at +550, now drifting to +800
- San Diego FC: Massive drop from +8000 to +1800
- LA Galaxy: Slide from +700 to +2200 signals fading public faith
- Atlanta United: Sharpening odds from +4000 to +2800 reflect renewed interest
San Diego FC has seen one of the most eye-catching line movements, rocketing up the board in what looks like a sharp market correction. Meanwhile, LA Galaxy and LAFC both are trending downward in confidence.
🎟️ Highest Ticket % (Volume of Bets)
- Atlanta United – 16.0%
- San Diego FC – 11.4%
- Seattle Sounders – 10.8%
These three clubs generate the most action from casual and volume bettors, indicating growing hype among fans and recreational bettors alike.
💰 Highest Handle % (Total Money Wagered)
- Atlanta United – 25.9%
- Seattle Sounders – 14.7%
- FC Cincinnati – 10.4%
Atlanta United leads both in ticket percentage and handle, making them a key watch for sharp and square money. High handle% often signals respected action.
⚠️ Biggest Betting Liabilities
- Atlanta United
- San Diego FC
- Seattle Sounders
Books will root against these three, as they’re currently the most dangerous outcomes from the sportsbook’s perspective. BetMGM may be on the hook for significant payouts if any of these clubs go the distance.
Top Goalscorer Futures: Odds Movement & Market Analysis
📈 Odds Movement
- Emmanuel Latte Lath: Opened at +1600, now down to +1000
- Kevin Denkey: Shortened from +2500 to +2000
These two names are quickly becoming top-tier contenders in the race for the MLS Golden Boot. Latte Lath’s odds movement especially tells of both form and money flow.
🎟️ Top Goalscorer Ticket % Leaders
- Kevin Denkey – 29.8%
- Emmanuel Latte Lath – 13.8%
- Lionel Messi – 7.4%
Denkey is the most bet-on player by a wide margin, even outpacing global superstar Messi. The public loves a value play with upside, and Denkey fits the bill.
💰 Top Goalscorer Handle %
- Emmanuel Latte Lath – 35.1%
- Kevin Denkey – 16.8%
- Wilfried Zaha – 14.1%
While Denkey garners more overall bets, Latte Lath dominates the total money wagered, suggesting sharper bettors are backing his breakout potential. Zaha’s handle figure is also intriguing, possibly hinting at under-the-radar steam.
⚠️ Goalscorer Market Liabilities
- Kevin Denkey
- Emmanuel Latte Lath
- Wilfried Zaha
As with the league winner market, these names represent BetMGM’s most significant risk positions on the goalscoring side. The books could be in trouble if they keep delivering on the pitch.
Key Takeaways for MLS Bettors
- Atlanta United is the most polarizing club in the league winner market—backed heavily by both casual and sharp money.
- San Diego FC has seen the most dramatic shift in title odds, moving from longshot to dark horse.
- Kevin Denkey and Emmanuel Latte Lath are the breakout names to watch in the Golden Boot race. Line movement and handle% signal major support.
Whether you’re a recreational MLS fan or a serious futures bettor, these odds shifts offer a roadmap for how public sentiment and sharp action shape the market.
New to sports betting? First, explore our Introduction to Sports Betting. Then check out our recommendations at Flip The Switch for online sportsbooks, along with offers to get started. And if you’re not an avid sports fan, you can still find some fun and unusual bets to enjoy!
